ARPAUSDT signals: 243 sent, 99.6% reached target
Between 2021-10-27 and 2024-02-28, HafizeBot sent 243 signals on ARPAUSDT, the Binance USDT-M perpetual — 192 long, 51 short — across 29 months. 242 reached their target with a median move of +1.46%; the median one took 1.1 hours. 1 were still open when their month's record was cut, the worst of them marked at -0.27%. Rank 21 of 141 pairs by signal count.
| Signals sent | 243 |
|---|---|
| Reached target | 242 (99.6%) |
| Open at month cut | 1 |
| Median move to target | +1.46% |
| Mean move to target | +2.07% |
| 90th percentile move | +3.45% |
| Best signal | +26.52% (2023-08) |
| Worst still-open snapshot | -0.27% |
| Net per signal, misses included | +2.06% |
| Median time to target | 1.1 h |
| Reached target within 1 hour | 48.8% |
| Long / short | 192 / 51 |
| First / last signal | 2021-10-27 / 2024-02-28 |
Signals per month
Did the misses eat the wins?
The fair way to read a small median next to a large worst row is to add everything up. On ARPAUSDT, the 242 signals that reached target add to +499.90% in percentage points. The 1 signals still open at their month's cut mark -0.27% between them. Net: +499.63%, or +2.06% per signal across all 243, unleveraged and before fees. The tail is real and it is inside that number; it did not consume the wins.
Two more things keep the worst row in proportion. It is a snapshot, not a closed loss: the signal was still running when the month's record was cut, and the sheets had no column for what happened next. And a member trading with a stop-loss — the autotrader has a predefined-stop setting, and the live record has counted stops since late August 2026 — caps each signal at their stop rather than at whatever the market did in that month; how to set one is in how to set a stop loss in crypto. Neither point makes the row smaller. Both say what it is.
How to read these numbers
- "Reached target" is the archive's rule. A row closed only when price hit the target; a signal that had not arrived by the month's cut is an open row with a mark-to-market snapshot, and the worst figures on this page are those. The live page since June 2026 scores stops and expiries as well, which is a stricter rule and a lower rate.
- Moves are unleveraged and unsized. A median of +1.46% is a price move, not an account return; fees, funding, slippage and the free channel's 20-minute delay all sit between it and any real result.
- This is history, not a forecast. ARPAUSDT may be listed, delisted or behaving differently today; check supported pairs for what is scanned now.
Every row behind this page is in the downloadable dataset; the month-by-month record is under monthly reports. What a rate like 99.6% actually needs to be worth anything is worked through in what a realistic crypto signal win rate is.
Past performance does not guarantee future results; nothing here is investment advice. See the risk disclosure below.